League U19 round 5

Toulouse U19 vs Bastia U19 analysis

Toulouse U19 Bastia U19
42 ELO 35
4.7% Tilt -0.8%
6800º General ELO ranking 27031º
187º Country ELO ranking 616º
ELO win probability
64.6%
Toulouse U19
18.4%
Draw
17%
Bastia U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
Toulouse U19
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17%
Win probability
Bastia U19
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toulouse U19
+24%
-6%
Bastia U19

ELO progression

Toulouse U19
Bastia U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toulouse U19
Toulouse U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2014
ETI
Saint-Etienne U19
0 - 1
Toulouse U19
TOU
46%
24%
30%
41 40 1 0
07 Sep. 2014
TOU
Toulouse U19
3 - 1
Cannes U19
CAN
69%
18%
14%
40 34 6 +1
31 Aug. 2014
NIM
Nîmes U19
1 - 1
Toulouse U19
TOU
27%
23%
51%
41 31 10 -1
01 Jun. 2014
TOU
Toulouse U19
3 - 2
Lille U19
LIL
37%
25%
38%
40 45 5 +1
30 May. 2014
THO
Thonon Évian U19
2 - 0
Toulouse U19
TOU
42%
24%
34%
42 38 4 -2

Matches

Bastia U19
Bastia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2014
CAN
Cannes U19
0 - 2
Bastia U19
BAS
44%
23%
34%
34 33 1 0
07 Sep. 2014
BAS
Bastia U19
1 - 2
Nîmes U19
NIM
60%
20%
20%
35 31 4 -1
31 Aug. 2014
AJA
Ajaccio U19
2 - 1
Bastia U19
BAS
41%
23%
36%
36 34 2 -1
18 May. 2014
NIM
Nîmes U19
0 - 3
Bastia U19
BAS
41%
23%
36%
35 33 2 +1
11 May. 2014
BAS
Bastia U19
2 - 1
Olympique Lyonnais U19
OLY
39%
23%
38%
33 38 5 +2