French League U19 Group D Round 10

Toulouse U19 vs Ajaccio U19 analysis

Toulouse U19 Ajaccio U19
36 ELO 36
-3.2% Tilt -1.7%
6842º General ELO ranking 8199º
187º Country ELO ranking 270º
ELO win probability
38.4%
Toulouse U19
23.3%
Draw
38.3%
Ajaccio U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
Toulouse U19
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
38.3%
Win probability
Ajaccio U19
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toulouse U19
+14%
-33%
Ajaccio U19

Points and table prediction

Toulouse U19
Their league position
Ajaccio U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
41
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Saint-Etienne U19
54
54
100%
Olympique Marseille U19
53
53
100%
Toulouse U19
49
52
90.5%
Montpellier U19
47
50
90.5%
Nice U19
46
46
100%
Ajaccio U19
41
41
100%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
38
38
100%
Monaco U19
32
35
92.5%
Colomiers U19
33
33
92.5%
Olympique Rovenain U19
10º
30
30
10º
100%
Air Bel U19
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Rodez U19
12º
20
20
12º
100%
Marignane Gignac U19
13º
17
17
13º
100%
Ghisonaccia Prunelli U19
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Toulouse U19
Ajaccio U19
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Toulouse U19
Ajaccio U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toulouse U19
Toulouse U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2024
ASG
Ghisonaccia Prunelli U19
3 - 6
Toulouse U19
TOU
13%
17%
70%
33 11 22 0
12 Oct. 2024
TOU
Toulouse U19
1 - 1
Olympique Rovenain U19
ORO
83%
11%
6%
33 13 20 0
06 Oct. 2024
COL
Colomiers U19
0 - 2
Toulouse U19
TOU
20%
22%
59%
32 22 10 +1
28 Sep. 2024
TOU
Toulouse U19
1 - 1
Montpellier U19
MON
32%
24%
44%
31 40 9 +1
22 Sep. 2024
ABE
Air Bel U19
1 - 2
Toulouse U19
TOU
42%
23%
35%
30 29 1 +1

Matches

Ajaccio U19
Ajaccio U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2024
ORO
Olympique Rovenain U19
1 - 1
Ajaccio U19
AJA
14%
17%
69%
38 13 25 0
20 Oct. 2024
MON
Monaco U19
1 - 2
Ajaccio U19
AJA
60%
19%
21%
37 39 2 +1
12 Oct. 2024
AJA
Ajaccio U19
2 - 0
Ghisonaccia Prunelli U19
ASG
80%
13%
7%
37 11 26 0
28 Sep. 2024
AJA
Ajaccio U19
3 - 0
Colomiers U19
COL
76%
16%
9%
36 23 13 +1
21 Sep. 2024
MON
Montpellier U19
4 - 2
Ajaccio U19
AJA
47%
23%
30%
37 38 1 -1