French League U19 Group D Round 17

Toulouse U19 vs Ajaccio U19 analysis

Toulouse U19 Ajaccio U19
28 ELO 29
-3.9% Tilt -6.9%
7171º General ELO ranking 8606º
195º Country ELO ranking 277º
ELO win probability
50.7%
Toulouse U19
22.4%
Draw
26.9%
Ajaccio U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
Toulouse U19
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.9%
Win probability
Ajaccio U19
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toulouse U19
+14%
-31%
Ajaccio U19

Points and table prediction

Toulouse U19
Their league position
Ajaccio U19
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
12º
10º
33
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Olympique Marseille U19
52
52
100%
Montpellier U19
46
46
100%
Rodez U19
45
45
100%
Monaco U19
40
40
100%
Air Bel U19
40
40
100%
Saint-Etienne U19
39
39
100%
Marignane Gignac U19
36
36
100%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
36
36
100%
Nice U19
35
35
100%
Toulouse U19
10º
34
34
10º
100%
Ajaccio U19
11º
33
33
11º
100%
Bastia U19
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Colomiers U19
14º
20
20
13º
100%
Béziers U19
13º
20
20
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Toulouse U19
Ajaccio U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Toulouse U19
Ajaccio U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toulouse U19
Toulouse U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2024
NIC
Nice U19
1 - 1
Toulouse U19
TOU
55%
21%
24%
29 30 1 0
17 Dec. 2023
MON
Monaco U19
1 - 0
Toulouse U19
TOU
73%
15%
12%
29 37 8 0
03 Dec. 2023
BEZ
Béziers U19
1 - 2
Toulouse U19
TOU
29%
23%
48%
29 23 6 0
26 Nov. 2023
TOU
Toulouse U19
2 - 1
Olympique Marseille U19
OLY
28%
23%
49%
27 35 8 +2
19 Nov. 2023
ABE
Air Bel U19
2 - 2
Toulouse U19
TOU
49%
22%
29%
27 28 1 0

Matches

Ajaccio U19
Ajaccio U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2024
AJA
Ajaccio U19
0 - 2
Marignane Gignac U19
MGG
53%
22%
25%
29 25 4 0
17 Dec. 2023
BAS
Bastia U19
2 - 0
Ajaccio U19
AJA
29%
23%
48%
30 24 6 -1
03 Dec. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio U19
2 - 0
Montpellier U19
MON
31%
24%
45%
28 35 7 +2
26 Nov. 2023
ETI
Saint-Etienne U19
0 - 1
Ajaccio U19
AJA
70%
17%
13%
27 37 10 +1
19 Nov. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio U19
2 - 2
Rodez U19
ROD
54%
21%
25%
27 23 4 0