National 3 round 23

Toulouse II vs Montpellier II analysis

Toulouse II Montpellier II
38 ELO 32
-12.5% Tilt 1.5%
6264º General ELO ranking 6846º
160º Country ELO ranking 198º
ELO win probability
51.8%
Toulouse II
24.1%
Draw
24.2%
Montpellier II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
Toulouse II
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.2%
Win probability
Montpellier II
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toulouse II
-27%
-45%
Montpellier II

ELO progression

Toulouse II
Montpellier II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toulouse II
Toulouse II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2012
TOU
Toulouse II
0 - 2
Bergerac
BER
49%
25%
26%
39 37 2 0
31 Mar. 2012
BAL
Balma
0 - 1
Toulouse II
TOU
36%
26%
38%
38 37 1 +1
25 Mar. 2012
TOU
Toulouse II
0 - 0
Marmande 47
MAR
66%
20%
14%
39 29 10 -1
17 Mar. 2012
MUR
AS Muretaine
2 - 0
Toulouse II
TOU
26%
24%
50%
41 31 10 -2
11 Mar. 2012
1 - 0
Toulouse II
TOU
30%
23%
47%
42 33 9 -1

Matches

Montpellier II
Montpellier II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2012
MON
Montpellier II
4 - 2
SA Mérignac
SAM
64%
20%
16%
33 28 5 0
01 Apr. 2012
MON
Montpellier II
1 - 2
Lormont
LOR
61%
20%
19%
33 29 4 0
24 Mar. 2012
SAI
Saint-Alban
3 - 2
Montpellier II
MON
42%
26%
32%
34 35 1 -1
18 Mar. 2012
MON
Montpellier II
1 - 3
Bergerac
BER
52%
24%
25%
36 35 1 -2
10 Mar. 2012
STA
Stade Bordelais
5 - 2
Montpellier II
MON
56%
24%
20%
37 44 7 -1