National 3 Round 14

Toulouse II vs Marmande 47 analysis

Toulouse II Marmande 47
36 ELO 36
-16.1% Tilt -5.2%
6023º General ELO ranking 20958º
159º Country ELO ranking 496º
ELO win probability
50.4%
Toulouse II
23.2%
Draw
26.5%
Marmande 47

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
Toulouse II
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.4%
Win probability
Marmande 47
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toulouse II
-22%
+27%
Marmande 47

ELO progression

Toulouse II
Marmande 47
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toulouse II
Toulouse II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2016
AUR
Aurillac Arpajon
1 - 0
Toulouse II
TOU
26%
25%
48%
38 30 8 0
19 Dec. 2015
TOU
Toulouse II
1 - 1
Lège-Cap-Ferret
LEG
52%
23%
26%
38 34 4 0
12 Dec. 2015
LES
Les Genêts d'Anglet
2 - 4
Toulouse II
TOU
38%
26%
37%
37 33 4 +1
29 Nov. 2015
TOU
Toulouse II
1 - 1
Paulhan/Pézenas
PAU
43%
24%
34%
37 37 0 0
21 Nov. 2015
CAS
Castanet
2 - 1
Toulouse II
TOU
22%
22%
56%
38 25 13 -1

Matches

Marmande 47
Marmande 47
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jan. 2016
MAR
Marmande 47
2 - 1
Montpellier II
MON
26%
22%
53%
32 42 10 0
19 Dec. 2015
VIL
Jeunesse Villenavaise
2 - 2
Marmande 47
MAR
34%
24%
42%
33 27 6 -1
12 Dec. 2015
LIM
Limoges
0 - 1
Marmande 47
MAR
64%
18%
18%
31 33 2 +2
28 Nov. 2015
MAR
Marmande 47
1 - 0
Aurillac Arpajon
AUR
48%
24%
28%
30 34 4 +1
21 Nov. 2015
LEG
Lège-Cap-Ferret
2 - 6
Marmande 47
MAR
65%
19%
16%
28 37 9 +2