Toulouse II vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
STA
1 - 1
TOU
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
ORL
1 - 1
TOU
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
TOU
3 - 2
NAN
47%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
BAY
3 - 1
TOU
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
TOU
2 - 1
MOU
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
BAL
0 - 1
NAN
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
BAY
0 - 0
BAL
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
BAL
2 - 2
MOU
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
BRI
1 - 1
BAL
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
BAL
0 - 2
AUR
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |