Toulouse II vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
TOU
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 2
TOU
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
LES
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
FAB
59%
21%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BER
0 - 0
TOU
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 1
ANG
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
AGD
1 - 0
AUR
31%
28%
41%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
BLA
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
AUR
23%
26%
51%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -2 |