Toulouse vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 0
TFC
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TFC
0 - 0
LOR
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
NAN
0 - 2
TFC
55%
26%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 3
TFC
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
TFC
2 - 2
ASN
44%
28%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
VAL
2 - 0
GIR
24%
29%
46%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
VAL
0 - 0
MON
23%
29%
48%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
VAL
1 - 0
NAN
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
LEN
3 - 0
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |