Toulouse vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
CAN
0 - 2
TFC
39%
30%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
TFC
0 - 1
CAE
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
LEN
3 - 1
TFC
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
TFC
2 - 1
PSG
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
SOC
2 - 1
TFC
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
VAL
3 - 0
CSL
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
CHA
3 - 3
VAL
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
AMI
3 - 1
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
VAL
4 - 1
AJA
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1999 |
STL
0 - 1
VAL
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |