Ligue 1 Round 18

Toulouse vs Saint-Étienne analysis

Toulouse Saint-Étienne
82 ELO 82
-20.9% Tilt -11%
81º General ELO ranking 235º
11º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
37.2%
Toulouse
28.9%
Draw
33.9%
Saint-Étienne

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
Toulouse
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
33.9%
Win probability
Saint-Étienne
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toulouse
+3%
+5%
Saint-Étienne

ELO progression

Toulouse
Saint-Étienne
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toulouse
Toulouse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2008
LIL
Lille
1 - 1
Toulouse
TFC
58%
24%
18%
82 86 4 0
30 Nov. 2008
TFC
Toulouse
0 - 0
Olympique Marseille
MAR
27%
28%
45%
82 87 5 0
22 Nov. 2008
LOR
Lorient
1 - 0
Toulouse
TFC
37%
29%
34%
82 80 2 0
15 Nov. 2008
TFC
Toulouse
2 - 0
Grenoble
GRE
53%
27%
20%
82 75 7 0
08 Nov. 2008
NAN
Nantes
1 - 1
Toulouse
TFC
41%
27%
32%
82 78 4 0

Matches

Saint-Étienne
Saint-Étienne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2008
ASS
Saint-Étienne
2 - 0
Le Havre
LHA
55%
25%
20%
82 77 5 0
30 Nov. 2008
ASN
Nancy
1 - 2
Saint-Étienne
ASS
47%
27%
26%
82 84 2 0
27 Nov. 2008
BRU
Club Brugge
1 - 1
Saint-Étienne
ASS
52%
25%
23%
82 83 1 0
22 Nov. 2008
ASS
Saint-Étienne
0 - 1
Nice
NIC
43%
29%
28%
82 85 3 0
15 Nov. 2008
LIL
Lille
3 - 0
Saint-Étienne
ASS
55%
25%
21%
83 86 3 -1