Toulouse vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
55.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
REI
1 - 1
TFC
33%
30%
37%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
PSG
3 - 1
TFC
74%
18%
9%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
TFC
2 - 1
ASN
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 2
TFC
53%
26%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
USB
0 - 1
TFC
20%
27%
53%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PSG
1 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
PSG
3 - 1
TFC
74%
18%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GIR
0 - 1
PSG
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
PSG
0 - 0
AJA
78%
15%
8%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 4
PSG
11%
24%
66%
|
90 | 39 | 51 | 0 |