Tossa vs Begur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 0
TOS
31%
25%
44%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ARG
0 - 1
TOS
51%
22%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
TOS
3 - 0
RSS
54%
22%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
TOS
0 - 4
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CFM
1 - 2
TOS
35%
25%
41%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Begur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BEG
1 - 1
ARG
19%
20%
61%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BEG
1 - 3
PAR
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MON
5 - 0
BEG
33%
21%
46%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BEG
2 - 7
MAN
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CGI
2 - 1
BEG
43%
21%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |