TOSK Tesanj vs Tomislav analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
9º
9º
41
4º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 52 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 51 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 49 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 48 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 48 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 47 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 43 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 37 |
14º
|
89.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 84% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOSK Tesanj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 2
TOS
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TOS
2 - 0
RAD
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 2
TOS
32%
27%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
JED
3 - 1
TOS
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TOS
0 - 1
SLO
17%
27%
56%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Tomislav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TMS
0 - 1
NSO
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 2
TMS
48%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TMS
3 - 1
SLO
25%
27%
49%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TMS
4 - 0
BRO
15%
19%
66%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
TMS
1 - 1
POS
11%
17%
72%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |