Toscal vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
RAF
4 - 1
TCF
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
TCF
0 - 0
UDO
51%
26%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
CDP
6 - 0
TCF
60%
23%
18%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
TCF
0 - 0
TEA
57%
24%
19%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
SDT
4 - 0
TCF
65%
20%
14%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
LAN
1 - 0
GAL
62%
22%
15%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
TEL
3 - 0
LAN
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
LAN
3 - 1
TAM
54%
25%
21%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
SPO
4 - 0
LAN
48%
27%
26%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
LAN
4 - 1
REA
53%
26%
21%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |