Toscal vs Orotava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
22.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
CDP
6 - 0
TCF
60%
23%
18%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
TCF
0 - 0
TEA
57%
24%
19%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
SDT
4 - 0
TCF
65%
20%
14%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
TCF
1 - 0
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
TCF
0 - 0
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Orotava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
UDO
7 - 0
GAL
63%
22%
15%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
TEL
2 - 0
UDO
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
UDO
2 - 0
TAM
56%
24%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
SPO
1 - 2
UDO
54%
25%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
UDO
2 - 1
REA
50%
26%
24%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |