Toscal vs Arganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
SFN
2 - 0
TCF
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
TCF
1 - 1
CDT
57%
22%
20%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
CDS
1 - 1
TCF
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
TCF
1 - 1
ZAR
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
VAL
3 - 0
TCF
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
ARG
2 - 2
COL
60%
25%
15%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
NUM
2 - 0
ARG
72%
19%
9%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
ARG
1 - 1
LEG
51%
27%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
CIE
2 - 1
ARG
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
ARG
1 - 0
ACF
45%
28%
27%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |