Toscal vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
REC
3 - 0
TCF
68%
17%
15%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
CIE
2 - 3
TCF
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1977 |
TCF
3 - 1
REC
41%
24%
34%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
TCF
2 - 1
CDB
51%
22%
28%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
TCF
2 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
31%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
PUE
5 - 1
ALC
65%
17%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
ALC
0 - 1
ZAM
82%
12%
7%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ALB
3 - 1
ALC
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
ALC
0 - 0
PUE
56%
21%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ALC
2 - 0
PLA
87%
9%
4%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |