Segunda Liga round 27

Torreense vs Porto II analysis

Torreense Porto II
72 ELO 67
-9.4% Tilt -10.6%
1385º General ELO ranking 1971º
27º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
49.9%
Torreense
26.3%
Draw
23.8%
Porto II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
Torreense
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.8%
Win probability
Porto II
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Torreense
+14%
-4%
Porto II

Points and table prediction

Torreense
Their league position
Porto II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
18º
35
10º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tondela
64
64
100%
FC Alverca
63
63
100%
Vizela
62
62
100%
Benfica II
55
55
100%
Torreense
54
54
100%
União de Leiria
52
52
100%
Chaves
51
51
100%
Feirense
49
49
100%
Felgueiras 1932
46
46
100%
Academico Viseu
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Penafiel
11º
45
45
11º
100%
Marítimo
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Leixões
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Porto II
14º
35
35
14º
100%
Portimonense
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Paços de Ferreira
16º
33
33
16º
100%
UD Oliveirense
17º
29
29
17º
100%
Mafra
18º
27
27
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Torreense
Porto II
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Torreense
Porto II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Torreense
Torreense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2025
ALV
FC Alverca
2 - 2
Torreense
TOR
45%
27%
28%
72 71 1 0
08 Mar. 2025
TOR
Torreense
3 - 0
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
45%
28%
27%
71 70 1 +1
01 Mar. 2025
TON
Tondela
2 - 2
Torreense
TOR
60%
23%
17%
71 77 6 0
23 Feb. 2025
TOR
Torreense
1 - 2
Chaves
CHA
35%
29%
36%
71 75 4 0
16 Feb. 2025
POR
Portimonense
1 - 2
Torreense
TOR
46%
27%
27%
70 70 0 +1

Matches

Porto II
Porto II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2025
POR
Porto II
0 - 1
Leixões
LEX
50%
25%
25%
67 67 0 0
09 Mar. 2025
MAF
Mafra
0 - 0
Porto II
POR
41%
26%
33%
66 66 0 +1
02 Mar. 2025
POR
Porto II
0 - 1
Marítimo
MAR
34%
25%
41%
67 74 7 -1
22 Feb. 2025
FEL
Felgueiras 1932
1 - 0
Porto II
POR
30%
27%
44%
67 63 4 0
16 Feb. 2025
POR
Porto II
3 - 2
Penafiel
PEN
43%
26%
31%
66 70 4 +1