Campeonato de Portugal Round 4

Torreense vs Caldas analysis

Torreense Caldas
46 ELO 45
-14.2% Tilt -1.9%
1274º General ELO ranking 5030º
27º Country ELO ranking 93º
ELO win probability
50.5%
Torreense
24.9%
Draw
24.5%
Caldas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
Torreense
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.5%
Win probability
Caldas
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Torreense
+11%
-17%
Caldas

ELO progression

Torreense
Caldas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Torreense
Torreense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2014
ATL
Atlético Ouriense
0 - 0
Torreense
TOR
27%
24%
49%
47 35 12 0
31 Aug. 2014
TOR
Torreense
0 - 0
Fatima
FAT
57%
24%
20%
47 44 3 0
24 Aug. 2014
UDL
União de Leiria
2 - 0
Torreense
TOR
59%
23%
18%
47 54 7 0
24 May. 2014
ALC
Alcanenense
1 - 1
Torreense
TOR
33%
25%
42%
47 42 5 0
11 May. 2014
TOR
Torreense
1 - 0
Caldas
CAL
55%
24%
21%
46 42 4 +1

Matches

Caldas
Caldas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2014
CAL
Caldas
1 - 1
Sertanense
SER
26%
26%
49%
45 53 8 0
06 Sep. 2014
FAZ
Fazendense
2 - 3
Caldas
CAL
17%
21%
62%
44 19 25 +1
31 Aug. 2014
ALC
Alcanenense
2 - 2
Caldas
CAL
44%
26%
30%
44 44 0 0
24 Aug. 2014
CAL
Caldas
2 - 2
Eléctrico
ELE
42%
27%
31%
44 46 2 0
24 May. 2014
CAL
Caldas
2 - 0
Fatima
FAT
41%
27%
32%
42 44 2 +2