Torrecuso vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torrecuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TUR
2 - 1
TOR
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
4 - 5
SSE
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
AGR
6 - 0
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 3
TUR
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROC
62%
19%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
APR
3 - 1
PIC
29%
23%
49%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
4 - 2
APR
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
APR
4 - 0
SOR
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BUD
2 - 0
APR
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
APR
4 - 0
SEL
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |