Montevideo City Torque vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 1
CSC
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 0
TOR
16%
20%
64%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 2
LFC
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
REN
3 - 0
TOR
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 1
PRO
36%
29%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
REN
0 - 3
PRO
37%
26%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
3 - 1
SUD
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CER
1 - 1
PRO
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 0
ATE
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |