Montevideo City Torque vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
5º
7º
7º
14
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 4
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
RIV
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 2
TOR
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
BOS
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
CER
0 - 2
TOR
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
27%
28%
45%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 4
DEF
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DEF
1 - 1
DEP
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BOS
1 - 0
DEF
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |