Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
OTT
2 - 1
TOR
12%
20%
68%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
RBN
1 - 1
TOR
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 2
MIN
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
COC
1 - 2
TOR
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SES
0 - 1
TOR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
NER
2 - 1
COC
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
COC
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
COC
1 - 2
TOR
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
COC
2 - 0
NER
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
COC
2 - 3
NYC
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |