MLS Round 20

Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew analysis

Toronto FC Columbus Crew
67 ELO 74
-6.6% Tilt 12%
764º General ELO ranking 341º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.3%
Toronto FC
27.5%
Draw
42.2%
Columbus Crew

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
Toronto FC
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42.2%
Win probability
Columbus Crew
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toronto FC
Toronto FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2013
TOR
Toronto FC
0 - 0
New York RB
RBN
24%
26%
50%
66 77 11 0
18 Jul. 2013
CHI
Chivas USA
1 - 0
Toronto FC
TOR
38%
26%
37%
67 63 4 -1
14 Jul. 2013
KCW
Sporting Kansas City
3 - 0
Toronto FC
TOR
64%
22%
15%
67 80 13 0
04 Jul. 2013
TOR
Toronto FC
3 - 3
CF Montréal
MON
30%
28%
42%
67 76 9 0
29 Jun. 2013
TOR
Toronto FC
0 - 1
Real Salt Lake
RSL
22%
26%
52%
68 81 13 -1

Matches

Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jul. 2013
COC
Columbus Crew
0 - 2
New England Revolution
NER
48%
26%
26%
75 72 3 0
07 Jul. 2013
COC
Columbus Crew
1 - 0
Portland Timbers
POR
44%
26%
29%
75 76 1 0
05 Jul. 2013
GAL
LA Galaxy
2 - 1
Columbus Crew
COC
55%
24%
21%
75 79 4 0
30 Jun. 2013
KCW
Sporting Kansas City
3 - 2
Columbus Crew
COC
52%
26%
23%
75 80 5 0
23 Jun. 2013
COC
Columbus Crew
1 - 2
Chicago Fire
CFS
42%
26%
32%
76 77 1 -1