Toronto Croatia vs Waterloo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
TCR
2 - 0
WIN
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TCR
2 - 0
BRA
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
SWE
1 - 0
TCR
21%
25%
54%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
TCR
2 - 2
SHO
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
TCR
4 - 1
BUR
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Waterloo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 4
WAT
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
WAT
5 - 0
SHO
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
WAT
9 - 0
SCW
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
SWE
1 - 2
WAT
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NIA
0 - 2
WAT
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |