Toronto Croatia vs Hamilton Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
TRA
3 - 0
TCR
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
OTW
2 - 0
TCR
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
TCR
0 - 1
NOR
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
TCR
1 - 4
SHO
79%
14%
6%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
TCR
2 - 1
HAM
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hamilton Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
OSH
1 - 4
HAM
41%
24%
34%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
HAM
2 - 2
SCT
55%
22%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2002 |
HAM
3 - 0
BRS
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
HAM
2 - 3
DUR
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
TCR
2 - 1
HAM
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |