Torcatense vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ADO
2 - 0
TOR
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 2
TRO
11%
19%
70%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 0
AGU
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
TOR
51%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
TDB
64%
20%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
CEL
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 2
MAR
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
NIN
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 1
MAR
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 1
RON
72%
16%
11%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |