Tooting and Mitcham vs Horsham YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CHA
2 - 0
TOO
36%
25%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
MAI
2 - 3
TOO
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
HOR
0 - 3
TOO
19%
22%
59%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
TOO
1 - 1
KIN
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
TOO
2 - 1
DAR
44%
24%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
HOR
0 - 2
MET
21%
24%
56%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
DAR
4 - 2
HOR
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
HOR
0 - 0
FLE
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
HOR
0 - 3
TOO
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CRO
0 - 2
HOR
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |