Tooting and Mitcham vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
TOO
4 - 2
BIL
22%
25%
53%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
KIN
2 - 1
TOO
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
TOO
1 - 4
LEA
32%
24%
45%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
TOO
4 - 3
CAR
24%
24%
53%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +3 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LEW
3 - 1
TOO
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 0
HOR
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 0
HAR
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
KIN
1 - 0
HAR
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
4 - 2
HEN
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BIL
3 - 0
HAR
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |