Non League Div One Isthmian South Central Round 19

Tooting and Mitcham vs Guernsey analysis

Tooting and Mitcham Guernsey
19 ELO 17
-17% Tilt -7.7%
15512º General ELO ranking 12802º
836º Country ELO ranking 750º
ELO win probability
43.3%
Tooting and Mitcham
23.8%
Draw
32.9%
Guernsey

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
Tooting and Mitcham
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33%
Win probability
Guernsey
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tooting and Mitcham
-52%
-43%
Guernsey

Points and table prediction

Tooting and Mitcham
Their league position
Guernsey
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
20º
20º
40
19º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Basingstoke Town
89
89
100%
Walton & Hersham
87
87
100%
Marlow FC
67
67
100%
Hanworth Villa FC
66
66
100%
Northwood
63
63
100%
Binfield
57
57
0%
Leatherhead
57
57
0%
Chertsey Town
56
56
100%
South Park FC
55
55
100%
Southall
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Chipstead
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Westfield FC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Thatcham Town
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Uxbridge
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Guernsey
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Ashford Town
16º
38
38
16º
100%
Sutton Common Rovers
17º
37
37
17º
100%
Merstham
18º
36
36
18º
100%
Bedfont Sports
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Tooting and Mitcham
20º
24
24
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tooting and Mitcham
Guernsey
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Tooting and Mitcham
Guernsey
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tooting and Mitcham
Tooting and Mitcham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 2022
TOO
Tooting and Mitcham
1 - 2
Thatcham Town
THA
25%
23%
52%
19 22 3 0
03 Dec. 2022
LEA
Leatherhead
1 - 1
Tooting and Mitcham
TOO
63%
21%
17%
19 24 5 0
26 Nov. 2022
TOO
Tooting and Mitcham
2 - 2
Uxbridge
UXB
11%
19%
70%
18 33 15 +1
22 Nov. 2022
BIN
Binfield
4 - 1
Tooting and Mitcham
TOO
79%
13%
8%
18 29 11 0
19 Nov. 2022
BAS
Basingstoke Town
4 - 2
Tooting and Mitcham
TOO
83%
11%
6%
19 28 9 -1

Matches

Guernsey
Guernsey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2022
WAL
Walton & Hersham
6 - 0
Guernsey
GUE
83%
11%
6%
18 29 11 0
03 Dec. 2022
BAS
Basingstoke Town
8 - 0
Guernsey
GUE
83%
11%
6%
19 30 11 -1
26 Nov. 2022
GUE
Guernsey
1 - 1
Bedfont Sports
BED
26%
22%
52%
18 25 7 +1
19 Nov. 2022
GUE
Guernsey
1 - 2
Northwood
NOR
22%
21%
57%
19 28 9 -1
12 Nov. 2022
MAR
Marlow FC
1 - 1
Guernsey
GUE
71%
17%
12%
18 28 10 +1