Tooting and Mitcham vs Epsom & Ewell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TOO
3 - 1
SHE
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 4
TOO
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TOO
0 - 0
ABR
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
0 - 0
TOO
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KNA
6 - 2
TOO
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Epsom & Ewell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
EPS
0 - 4
KNA
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FAR
5 - 1
EPS
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 1
EPS
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
EPS
5 - 1
COL
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
EPS
1 - 2
BAL
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |