Tongeren vs Racing Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
13º
8º
55
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
74% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 46 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
61.5% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
WEZ
1 - 5
TON
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
HAD
1 - 1
TON
32%
23%
45%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TON
0 - 3
KVV
60%
21%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TON
0 - 2
SPO
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LYR
2 - 4
TON
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
HOU
0 - 3
RAC
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
RAC
4 - 1
LYR
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 1
SPO
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
RCL
1 - 2
RAC
25%
23%
52%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 0
DIE
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |