Tongeren vs KFC Houtvenne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
13º
8º
55
3º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
74% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 46 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
61.5% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MEC
4 - 0
TON
34%
24%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
TON
2 - 0
RAC
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
WEZ
1 - 5
TON
44%
23%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
HAD
1 - 1
TON
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TON
0 - 3
KVV
65%
19%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
KFC Houtvenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HOU
1 - 1
RCL
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
HOU
0 - 3
RAC
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BER
2 - 3
HOU
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
HOU
0 - 0
LON
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MEC
1 - 2
HOU
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |