Tomori Berat vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
57.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
12º
12º
46
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomori Berat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 2
TOM
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 1
VOR
13%
19%
68%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
KRU
3 - 1
TOM
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 3
LUS
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 2
BYL
15%
23%
62%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 1
APO
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
APO
1 - 1
FLA
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 0
APO
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
ELB
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
LUZ
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |