Tom Tomsk vs Volga Novgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tom Tomsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
TOM
1 - 1
FCR
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
DIN
3 - 0
TOM
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
TOM
1 - 1
SPA
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
TOM
2 - 2
LOK
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
FCR
4 - 1
TOM
59%
25%
17%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Volga Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
FCR
2 - 0
VNN
64%
23%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
VNN
0 - 2
ZEN
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
KRA
4 - 2
VNN
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
VNN
2 - 0
KRS
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
VNN
45%
29%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |