Tom Tomsk vs Baltika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tom Tomsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
SGI
0 - 4
TOM
21%
30%
49%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 1
TOM
27%
30%
43%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 0
KAM
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 1
NEF
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
ELI
0 - 2
TOM
36%
30%
34%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Baltika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 1
MET
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
BAL
0 - 0
SOK
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2004 |
FCO
0 - 1
BAL
41%
29%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 0
BAL
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
BAL
3 - 3
ANZ
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |