Toluca vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
65.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2022 |
LEO
4 - 4
TOL
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 4
ATS
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUA
69%
19%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TIG
3 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
LEV
2 - 1
SCF
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
HOF
2 - 4
LEV
29%
23%
48%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
LEV
2 - 0
EIN
44%
24%
33%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SGF
1 - 4
LEV
12%
19%
69%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
LEV
0 - 1
RBL
30%
23%
47%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |