Toluca U15 vs Necaxa U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
JUA
1 - 2
TOL
35%
27%
39%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
CAZ
1 - 3
TOL
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUN
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
TUA
0 - 0
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
NCX
1 - 1
PBL
60%
21%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
NCX
0 - 1
AME
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
QRT
1 - 0
NCX
19%
23%
59%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
NCX
1 - 1
PBL
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
PUN
3 - 2
NCX
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |