Liga MX Sub 15 - Apertura Knock-outs Quarter-finals

Toluca U15 vs Mazatlán U15 analysis

Toluca U15 Mazatlán U15
52 ELO 33
3.8% Tilt -9.2%
3720º General ELO ranking 7743º
57º Country ELO ranking 118º
ELO win probability
70.9%
Toluca U15
17.1%
Draw
12%
Mazatlán U15

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
Toluca U15
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12%
Win probability
Mazatlán U15
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca U15
+1%
+32%
Mazatlán U15

ELO progression

Toluca U15
Mazatlán U15
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca U15
Toluca U15
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2024
NCX
Necaxa U15
2 - 0
Toluca U15
TOL
30%
26%
44%
53 48 5 0
10 Nov. 2024
TOL
Toluca U15
4 - 0
Querétaro U15
QRT
78%
14%
8%
53 39 14 0
02 Nov. 2024
PBL
Puebla U15
1 - 4
Toluca U15
TOL
17%
23%
60%
52 37 15 +1
19 Oct. 2024
TOL
Toluca U15
4 - 1
FC Juárez U15
JUA
59%
21%
20%
52 45 7 0
16 Oct. 2024
TOL
Toluca U15
2 - 1
Puebla U15
PBL
78%
14%
8%
51 36 15 +1

Matches

Mazatlán U15
Mazatlán U15
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2024
MAZ
Mazatlán U15
4 - 0
Atl. San Luis U15
ASL
45%
21%
34%
32 32 0 0
13 Nov. 2024
MAZ
Mazatlán U15
3 - 0
Tigres UANL U15
TUA
25%
22%
53%
26 43 17 +6
09 Nov. 2024
MAZ
Mazatlán U15
0 - 2
Guadalajara U15
GDL
17%
20%
64%
26 55 29 0
04 Nov. 2024
MON
Monterrey U15
5 - 0
Mazatlán U15
MAZ
71%
16%
13%
27 39 12 -1
02 Nov. 2024
TUA
Tigres UANL U15
1 - 2
Mazatlán U15
MAZ
72%
16%
12%
26 43 17 +1