League MX Sub 19 - Apertura Normal Season Round 5

Toluca U19 vs Pumas UNAM U19 analysis

Toluca U19 Pumas UNAM U19
50 ELO 50
-11.2% Tilt -10.5%
4978º General ELO ranking 4979º
79º Country ELO ranking 80º
ELO win probability
46.6%
Toluca U19
25.7%
Draw
27.7%
Pumas UNAM U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
Toluca U19
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.7%
Win probability
Pumas UNAM U19
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca U19
+2%
+12%
Pumas UNAM U19

ELO progression

Toluca U19
Pumas UNAM U19
FC Juárez U19
Necaxa U19
Cruz Azul U19
Puebla U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca U19
Toluca U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 2025
TOL
Toluca U19
0 - 0
Tigres UANL U19
TIG
30%
26%
43%
50 54 4 0
16 Jul. 2025
SNT
Santos Laguna U19
0 - 2
Toluca U19
TOL
47%
24%
29%
49 47 2 +1
12 Jul. 2025
TOL
Toluca U19
2 - 1
Necaxa U19
NEX
60%
22%
18%
49 41 8 0
10 May. 2025
TIG
Tigres UANL U19
4 - 0
Toluca U19
TOL
57%
24%
20%
50 53 3 -1
07 May. 2025
TOL
Toluca U19
0 - 1
Tigres UANL U19
TIG
36%
26%
38%
51 53 2 -1

Matches

Pumas UNAM U19
Pumas UNAM U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jul. 2025
GBL
Querétaro U19
2 - 3
Pumas UNAM U19
PUM
23%
26%
50%
49 40 9 0
20 Jul. 2025
PUM
Pumas UNAM U19
4 - 0
Pachuca U19
PAC
33%
25%
42%
48 50 2 +1
12 Jul. 2025
SNT
Santos Laguna U19
2 - 0
Pumas UNAM U19
PUM
44%
25%
31%
49 45 4 -1
26 Apr. 2025
PUM
Pumas UNAM U19
0 - 1
América U19
AME
47%
25%
28%
50 47 3 -1
23 Apr. 2025
AME
América U19
1 - 0
Pumas UNAM U19
PUM
38%
26%
36%
51 45 6 -1