Liga MX Sub 16 - Clausura round 4

Toluca U16 vs Necaxa U16 analysis

Toluca U16 Necaxa U16
35 ELO 47
8.1% Tilt -1.3%
46681º General ELO ranking 46684º
379º Country ELO ranking 382º
ELO win probability
26.9%
Toluca U16
22.3%
Draw
50.9%
Necaxa U16

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
Toluca U16
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
50.9%
Win probability
 Necaxa U16
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca U16
-7%
+5%
Necaxa U16

ELO progression

Toluca U16
 Necaxa U16
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca U16
Toluca U16
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2024
QUE
 Querétaro U16
2 - 0
Toluca U16
DTO
30%
22%
48%
38 31 7 0
13 Jan. 2024
DTO
Toluca U16
1 - 2
América U16
AME
45%
23%
32%
39 41 2 -1
18 Nov. 2023
DTO
Toluca U16
4 - 0
 Querétaro U16
QUE
71%
16%
14%
39 30 9 0
11 Nov. 2023
PAC
 Pachuca U16
4 - 1
Toluca U16
DTO
58%
22%
21%
40 46 6 -1
04 Nov. 2023
DTO
Toluca U16
2 - 2
América U16
AME
44%
23%
33%
40 42 2 0

Matches

Necaxa U16
 Necaxa U16
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2024
NEX
 Necaxa U16
5 - 1
 Pachuca U16
PAC
47%
22%
31%
45 45 0 0
13 Jan. 2024
CZA
Cruz Azul U16
0 - 0
 Necaxa U16
NEX
27%
22%
51%
45 36 9 0
06 Jan. 2024
NEX
 Necaxa U16
4 - 0
 FC Juárez U16
JUA
73%
16%
11%
45 32 13 0
02 Dec. 2023
NEX
 Necaxa U16
1 - 1
América U16
AME
58%
21%
21%
46 42 4 -1
25 Nov. 2023
NEX
 Necaxa U16
1 - 0
Mazatlán U16
MAZ
66%
18%
16%
45 38 7 +1