Toluca Premier vs Tepatitlán FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
TOL
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
RCU
0 - 1
TOL
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 3
AEM
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 2
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
IRA
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TEM
3 - 1
ATL
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAC
1 - 3
TEM
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TEM
1 - 0
CAZ
49%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TEM
3 - 0
LOR
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
TEM
1 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |