Toluca Premier vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
34%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
PUM
1 - 2
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 0
IPC
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
IRA
1 - 0
TOL
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 0
ZAC
32%
28%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
JAG
3 - 0
ORI
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ORI
0 - 2
PUM
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 0
AME
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
IPC
3 - 1
ORI
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ORI
0 - 2
IRA
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |