Tollygunge vs Border Security Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tollygunge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
TOL
1 - 3
KOC
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2000 |
EAS
0 - 0
TOL
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2000 |
TOL
3 - 2
TRA
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
SAL
1 - 1
TOL
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2000 |
MAH
1 - 1
TOL
51%
25%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Border Security Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
DEM
0 - 1
BSF
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2000 |
MBS
2 - 0
BSF
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
EAS
3 - 1
BSF
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
BSF
2 - 0
MAH
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2000 |
BSF
0 - 1
JCT
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |