Tokushima Vortis vs Fagiano Okayama II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOK
2 - 2
MON
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GAI
0 - 3
TOK
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
TOK
0 - 0
SHO
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
TOK
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
EHI
1 - 2
TOK
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FAG
4 - 0
PET
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SHO
2 - 1
FAG
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FAG
7 - 5
REN
30%
24%
47%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |