TOGB vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LEO
3 - 1
TOG
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
TOG
5 - 0
JHR
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ALP
1 - 1
TOG
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
TOG
2 - 2
DEL
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
HVV
1 - 3
TOG
31%
24%
44%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NIE
3 - 3
QUI
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
VUC
0 - 0
NIE
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NIE
1 - 0
RKA
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SJC
2 - 0
NIE
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NIE
1 - 0
SCN
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |