Tochigi vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
TOK
1 - 1
TOC
60%
22%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
1 - 0
KAG
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 1
TOC
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FUK
2 - 1
TOC
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 0
FUJ
55%
23%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
OIT
0 - 1
KAT
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GOS
2 - 2
OIT
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RYK
1 - 0
OIT
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
OIT
2 - 1
GAI
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
KAG
0 - 1
OIT
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |