Tochigi Uva vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi Uva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TOC
2 - 3
PAR
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
KAM
1 - 0
TOC
64%
22%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 3
SAG
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MIO
2 - 4
TOC
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
HON
2 - 4
TOC
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 4
MAC
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 1
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GAM
3 - 2
MAC
90%
8%
3%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 3
SHO
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MIT
1 - 1
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |