Tocantins vs SD Sparta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SDS
3 - 1
TOC
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
TOC
2 - 1
TOC
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
5 - 2
TOC
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CEC
1 - 3
TOC
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TOC
0 - 2
RIO
24%
23%
53%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
SD Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SDS
3 - 1
TOC
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SDS
1 - 0
CEC
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TOC
2 - 2
SDS
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |