Tocantins vs Colinas EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
INT
2 - 2
TOC
68%
18%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 5
TOC
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 4
TOC
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 1
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GUR
2 - 0
TOC
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Colinas EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CEC
2 - 0
PAL
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CEC
3 - 2
INT
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 3
CEC
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
TOC
3 - 0
CEC
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CEC
2 - 0
PAR
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |